News Provincial

PC party support remains solid in T.O.: poll

By Jenny Yuen, Toronto Sun

Ontario Provincial Conservative Leader Patrick Brown answers questions from the media following opening the second session of the 41st Parliament of Ontario in Toronto on Monday, Sept. 12, 2016. Premier Kathleen Wynne's lawyers wrote a letter to Patrick Brown on Wednesday asking that he withdraw comments he made about her or face a defamation lawsuit. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Peter Power)

Ontario Provincial Conservative Leader Patrick Brown answers questions from the media following opening the second session of the 41st Parliament of Ontario in Toronto on Monday, Sept. 12, 2016. Premier Kathleen Wynne's lawyers wrote a letter to Patrick Brown on Wednesday asking that he withdraw comments he made about her or face a defamation lawsuit. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Peter Power)

Ontario’s PC party would mop up in Toronto — a Liberal stronghold — if an election was held now, according to a Forum Research poll.

The survey of 658 Toronto voters found nearly four in 10 people — 38% — would vote for the Tories, compared to 30% who say they would support the Liberals. Another 23% supported the NDP, 8% would cast ballots for the Green Party and 2% backed other parties.

“Progressive Conservative support remains solid in Toronto, with the Liberals and the NDP both well behind,” said Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research. “A strong NDP hurts the governing Liberals almost as much as a big PC lead, since the Liberals can’t afford to bleed votes to the left and right, and still win three-way races in the city.”

The Liberals currently hold 19 of the 22 seats in Toronto. When voters pick a new provincial government next June, the number of seats up for grabs in the legislature will increase from the current 107 to 122. Most of the new seats, which reflect population growth, will be assigned to the Greater Toronto Area.

Those most likely to vote PC are men, ages 55-64, earning $80,000 to $100,000, who drive to work. About 46% of those PC supporters live in the former municpality of North York and another 48% live in old York. They’re keen to support Doug Ford over John Tory in next year’s mayoral race.

The poll also found those most likely to support the Liberals tend to be over 65 and 41% are the least wealthy, $20,000-$40,000 annually. They’re also “the least educated” and rely on public transit. About 36% of Liberal supporters live in the former municipality of East York and would support Tory over Ford.

The poll was conducted Sept. 8-9 and its results are accurate within 4%, 19 times out of 20.

jyuen@postmedia.com